Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Daniel Rincon Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve efficiency shows Carreno-Busta winning 45.05% of points, slightly behind Rincon's 45.57%. Does this slight edge matter? Yes, as it correlates with match prediction accuracy.
• In recent return game performance, Carreno-Busta and Rincon display similar strengths with Carreno-Busta at 45.88% and Rincon at 46.34% for second serve points returned. Intriguingly, Rincon outperforms on first serve returns at 28.64% compared to Carreno-Busta's 26.41%.
• Analyzing pressure management, Carreno-Busta shows resilience by saving 55.12% of breakpoints, superior to Rincon's 50.69%—a crucial factor for live betting.
• In overall performance over the past year, Rincon edges slightly ahead with a 56.72% match win rate compared to Carreno-Busta's 52.83%.
• On preferred surfaces, Carreno-Busta excels on Clay with a 66% win percentage but struggles on Grass with only 30%. Rincon shines on Indoor hard courts, winning 67%, yet falters on Grass at 0%.
• When considering player competition level, Carreno-Busta has faced tougher opponents, with an average rank of 165.98 compared to Rincon’s 312.7.
• In deciding sets, Rincon has an impressive 65% win rate, whereas Carreno-Busta has managed 38% in the past year.
• Evaluating breakpoint conversion, Rincon outperforms with a 39.44% success rate versus Carreno-Busta's 30.77%, a critical statistic for in-play strategies.

Editorial Prediction (September 2, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match is expected to be a close contest, with both players exhibiting competitive recent form statistics. Rincon edges Carreno-Busta in several key areas.

Rincon’s superior performance in first serve returns and breakpoint conversion suggests stronger in-game adaptability, which might be pivotal in determining the match outcome.

While Carreno-Busta’s experience against higher-ranked opponents demonstrates resilience, Rincon's higher win percentage in deciding sets gives him a notable advantage.

Considering these factors, Rincon appears as the slight favorite to win the upcoming match.